Opening night bitches. Celtics-Sixers at 8:00, Thunder-Warriors at 10:30, then the rest of the league gets started tomorrow.
My balls are tingling. The day is finally here, the wait finally over. It’s been a long damn time since I watched a real basketball game (preseason sucks ass). C’s-Sixers and Thunder-Dubs is a solid opening night slate and frankly we all deserve it. Paying attention to this goddamn reality show circus of a league all summer long is seriously an effort. I don’t get to eat as much, and I’m losing my vision from staring at my phone screen all day long. But that is the price I pay to give the public the cold, hard facts. It’s my civic duty. If you thanked me, I’d get it, but I’m not gonna ask you to or imply that you should because that would be arrogant of me. I’m just going to thank the NBA for gifting us with the great sport of basketball this evening, pack up my lunch pail, and go back to work.
One could argue that this is the most predictable NBA season we’ve anticipated in a while. We all know the Warriors starters are basically the USA Olympic team and if healthy, they will beat anyone in a seven-game series. It’s true. But that “one” who would argue that is still dead wrong. Outside of the Warriors being good, we don’t know much else about the NBA yet. There are the clear top-5-ish good teams (Golden State, Boston, Toronto, Houston, Philly) and the clear top-5-ish bad teams (Sacramento, Orlando, New York, Atlanta, Chicago). The rest of the league is an orgy of teams that are equally bad and have no shot at winning in the playoffs. And that, my friends, is gonna make this season fuckin’ awesome. The Warriors and Celtics are on the pat for a Finals matchup, but the rest of the league is so even and competitive.
So, I got some ideas (or “ideers,” as some people say for unknown reasons) for how the year’s gonna play out. I’m gonna give my predictions for each conference and how they’ll look at the end of the year, with some #analysis to boot.
Eastern Conference Standings
- Boston Celtics
- Toronto Raptors
- Philadelphia 76ers
- Milwaukee Bucks
- Indiana Pacers
- Miami Heat
- Washington Wizards
- Detroit Pistons
Whoa, the Celtics at #1! What a prediction! I really like the way this cat thinks. I imagine the Celtics hover around 60 wins, and Toronto and Philly won’t be far behind. After that, the talent drops off a bit. Milwaukee and Indiana have the stars in Giannis and Oladipo, respectively, but the supporting cast lacks a bit. I assume Miami gets Jimmy Butler at some point, but they’ll still be average assuming they give up a valuable piece, so I have them at 6. Washington and Detroit sneak in at 7 and 8 off the strength of their star power. John Wall and Beal seem to will themselves into a first-round exit every year, and a full year of Blake and Drummond should end up with the first playoff berth for Detroit in two years.
Western Conference Standings
- Golden State Warriors
- Houston Rockets
- Utah Jazz
- Oklahoma City Thunder
- New Orleans Pelicans
- Los Angeles Lakers
- Denver Nuggets
- Portland Trail Blazers
Team USA via Oakland gets the clear #1 spot in the league. Houston ought to be real interesting with Melo in the fold, wouldn’t be surprised if they drop to 3 or 4 with the lack of wing defense. After that, it gets tricky. The middle of the West is very deep and there’s a legit 8 or 9 teams that could make it 3-8. The LABron-lead Lakers are a real ragtag bunch if you ask me, I have tempered expectations for them. 49-33 and the 6-seed is my guess. Utah is my surprise team; they were good last year, Quin Snyder is an excellent coach, and Donovan Mitchell is a budding star. Snyder turned Rubio into an above-average point, and if Joe Ingles continues being a bulldog on defense and knocking down corner 3’s, they’ll be just as good if not better than last year. Count on it. I have Denver and Portland rounding out the top-8. Isaiah Thomas could thrive in a sixth man role for the Nuggets with Jamal Murray at the helm. If Portland blows up the Dame-CJ backcourt, they’ll be a lot lower than 8th, but if not, they’ll be just good enough for a playoff spot.
Good stuff, right? I thought so too. They give out awards at the end of the NBA season, you see. There’s Most Valuable Player, which is given to the player deemed most valuable, Defensive Player of the Year, given to the player who is the best at defense, among various other awards. Like I did with the playoffs, I’ll #predict and #analyze whom shall bring home the presumptuous honor for each individual category;
Most Valuable Player – Anthony Davis, C/PF, New Orleans Pelicans
This might be the last year that LeBron is the best player in the NBA. AD is really fucking good. He averaged 28 points per game with 61% true shooting. His usage percentage was 30 last season. Perhaps the most remarkable thing about AD is that when is usage goes up, his efficiency stays the same. He doesn’t become less efficient with more volume, he continues the output. Now that he doesn’t have another superstar in New Orleans, expect him to put up some absolutely monster numbers this year. If they make the playoffs, it’ll be hard not to give AD the MVP.
Defensive Player of the Year – Kawhi Leonard, SF, Toronto Raptors
Some people think Kawhi won’t be the same after his “injury” last season. I’m not one of ’em. He sat out last season cause he hated the Spurs and wanted out, not because of his quad. I’m sure it was hurt, but many players have came back from injuries like his in significantly less time (Tony Parker, for example). If he’s healthy, there’s no reason he’s not the best defender in the world. And this award is for exactly that type of player. Perfect match. Nick Nurse is a good coach and should have a well-oiled machine on defense with the length and tenacity of Kawhi, Kyle Lowry, OG Anunoby and Delon Wright.
Rookie of the Year – Luka Doncic, SF/PG, Dallas Mavericks
I’m all in on the Luka hype. I know preseason isn’t real basketball, but check this;
In response to the Mickstape tweet, he won’t sustain that pace. But he will be the secondary playmaker and scorer on a young, developing team. That should give him a lot of free reign on offense, and if he can stay in front of people, he’ll survive on defense with DSJ and DAJ to help. Luka has instinctual scoring ability around the rim. Creative finishes, passes, dribbling, you name it. He is a wizard of coordination and dexterity. Combine that with his ultra-smooth stroke and freedom on offense, he’s a top-flight ROY candidate.
Sixth Man of the Year – Tyreke Evans, G, Indiana Pacers
I presume he comes off the bench most of the time with Oladipo and Collison starting, so I gave him the slight edge over Terry Rozier here. The C’s have too many good bench players to pick just one, and Tyreke will be the ball-dominant guard for the second unit. He’s always been an adept scorer, but where he’ll separate himself is on defense; if he can guard the opposing team’s sixth man every time down the floor, his impact on the game will be astronomical.
Most Improved Player – Jarrett Allen, C, Brooklyn Nets
Jarrett Allen is an athletic son of a bitch. Brooklyn is shaping up real well to scoop up Boogie and become a first-round doormat for the next 5 years, but the young center they have now offers a lot of hope. Allen is springy as fuck and averaged 3 blocks per 100 possessions last season, which shows he can hold it down in the middle, too.
Coach of the Year – Brad Stevens, Boston Celtics
There’s almost no chance they don’t give Brad this award as consolation for royally fucking him over last year. Dwayne Casey won the award and got fired a week later. Pathetic. Brad lead the C’s hospital squad to the brink of an NBA Finals birth. The team’s best player was 21 years old and the other two main contributors were third-year players at best. What he did last year is 100x harder and more impressive than anything he’ll be able to do with this year’s fully-healthy squad. Brad for President.
Well,,, that about wraps it up folks. The dawn of a new NBA season is upon us. We only have about 5.5 more hours until tip-off. I’ll be covering the Boston Celtics in-depth, as I did last season, but I hope to get some more NBA articles out there so I can build a #resume. I need a job. A man’s gotta eat.
Thank god for basketball season. Go Celtics bitch.